2021 NFL Mock Draft 3.0 (2 Rounds & Mock Trades)

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2021 NFL Mock Draft 3.0

  • 2 Rounds + Detailed Analysis
  • Mock Trades Included
  • Post-Sam Darnold Trade
  • Prediction for what I think teams will do, not necessarily what I would do.

1)JAC — Trevor Lawrence QB Clemson — The Jaguars land the most fundamentally sound QB prospect in the 2021 draft class. Lawrence has refined throwing mechanics, clean footwork, and excellent arm strength.

2) NYJ — Zach Wilson QB BYU — Zach Wilson has dazzling highlights in which he displays his remarkable arm talent. I do worry about Wilson’s propensity to run at inopportune times and handle pocket pressure poorly, though. Zach Wilson has a wide range of outcomes for his NFL career.

3) SF — Mac Jones QB Alabama — I’m very confident that Mac Jones is Kyle Shanahan’s guy. Jones may have limited arm strength and mobility, but he is a rhythmic, anticipatory, and accurate passer. Jones reminds me of Matt Ryan in many ways. Mac Jones is the most NFL-ready QB in the 2021 NFL draft class right now behind Trevor Lawrence.

4) DEN(T) — Justin Fields QB OSU — Four quarterbacks with the first four picks. I like Justin Fields as a concept because of his speed as a runner and downfield accuracy, but Fields isn’t as NFL-ready as his college statistics would suggest. My concerns for Fields are that he came from a very college-like offense in that he didn’t do much pre-snap analysis or many passing progressions, he struggled with short-pass accuracy in unscripted situations, and he handled pressure horribly by taking sacks frequently. With all of that being said, Fields has plenty of upside to offer a Broncos franchise that is desperate for a good QB.

5) CIN — Ja’Marr Chase WR LSU — I have the Bengals reuniting Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase. Chase is easily the best WR in this draft class because of his combination of physical tools and route-running. Cincinnati can address the o-line in subsequent rounds, as there’s depth at those positions this year.

6) MIA — Kyle Pitts TE Florida — Kyle Pitts is a big, jump-ball weapon who can line up anywhere on the field. I’m not as high as some are on Pitts, but he could flourish in Miami.

7) NE(T) — Trey Lance QB N.Dakota St. — With Carolina trading for Sam Darnold, the door seems to have reopened for New England to draft a QB. Trey Lance is a perfect fit for the Patriots’ offense because Lance plays football similarly to Cam Newton. Lance’s powerful rushing ability would be magnified behind the best run-blocking offensive line in the NFL. Lance is still relatively untested as a passer, but he’s got excellent arm strength and velocity. Trey Lance should hope to be selected by the Patriots and groomed behind Cam Newton for a year or two.

8) CAR — Penei Sewell OT Oregon — Word on the street is that Penei Sewell is slipping a bit down draft boards due to an injury. I think that hitching your wagon to Sam Darnold is a dumb idea, but at least the Panthers get a solid starting left tackle.

9) ATL(T) — Micah Parsons OLB/DE Penn. St. — The Falcons could go a number of different directions in Round 1, but I have them trading back, acquiring extra draft capital, and taking Micah Parsons. I think that Parsons’ pro-day numbers are going to catapult him up boards even though he’s a bit raw and a tweener between OLB and DE.

10) DAL — Jaycee Horn CB South Carolina — The Cowboys get a cornerback with good size and fluid covering skills. I expect Jaycee Horn to be the first CB selected in the 2021 NFL draft.

11) NYG — Jamin Davis ILB Kentucky — The first shocking pick goes to Dave Gettleman and the Giants. I see Jamin Davis as a day-two prospect, but Davis’s physical tools are shooting up his draft stock. The Giants’ roster is actually pretty solid across the board and they refuse to replace Daniel Jones, so I have Dave Gettleman wildly over-drafting to address a need as he’s done in the past.

12) PHI — DeVonta Smith WR Alabama — I’m mildly concerned about DeVonta Smith’s lack of competition difficulty and slight frame, but the guy was ridiculously productive in 2020. Pretty good deal for the Eagles to land an extra 1st round pick in 2022 along with DeVonta Smith.

13) LAC — Rashawn Slater OT/G Northwestern — The Chargers bring in a solid OT/G prospect in Rashawn Slater to address their o-line. Slater is a technician with clean footwork. It’s hard for me to see Rashawn Slater as anything but a good pro.

14) MIN — Kwity Paye DE Michigan — The Vikings solidify their defensive line in Round 1 with Kwity Paye. Paye can move along the defensive line, but the hope for him is to become a 4–3 DE.

15) DET(T) — Jaylen Waddle WR Alabama — The Lions continue their rebuild by trading down and accumulating more future assets. For now, though, the addition of Jaylen Waddle would help Detroit’s offense a lot. Waddle is a burner with amazing acceleration.

16) ARI — Patrick Surtain II CB Alabama — Patrick Surtain II is a player with a strong safety’s body and corner’s instincts, which makes him a tricky evaluation. Surtain’s lack of straight-line speed makes him an intriguing zone-scheme CB for Arizona.

17) LVR — Jackson Carman G/OT Clemson — Another pick out of left-field by the Raiders, as they select Jackson Carman to replace Gabe Jackson at guard.

18) MIA — Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah OLB Notre Dame — I love Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah because of his versatility; JO-K is a skilful coverage linebacker who can cover the slot at a serviceable level and blitz off the edge. I have Owusu-Koramoah as a top-12 overall player in the 2021 NFL draft.

19) WAS — Christian Darrisaw OT Virginia Tech — Washington desperately needs a starting left tackle, so I have them addressing their issue with Christian Darrisaw. Darrisaw is firmly a 1st round prospect despite some consistency concerns.

20) CHI — Alijah Vera-Tucker OT/G USC — The Bears come away with a good prospect in Alijah Vera-Tucker to bolster their uninspiring offensive line. Vera-Tucker will likely slot in as a guard in the NFL, but his footwork is refined enough for him to have a shot at playing RT.

21) IND — Zaven Collins OLB/Edge Tulsa — Zaven Collins is a unique defensive chess piece, as he’s 260 lbs., can rush off the edge, and was also exceptionally good when dropping back into coverage.

22) TEN — Tyson Campbell CB Georgia — After losing both Adoree Jackson and Malcolm Butler this off-season, the Titans roll the dice on a raw but talented cornerback in Tyson Campbell to pair with Kristian Fulton and/or Janoris Jenkins.

23) NYJ — Jayson Oweh DE Penn. St. — Jayson Oweh has a rising draft stock because he’s an intriguing pass rusher with physical tools. The Jets have been searching for edge rushers for a long time.

24) PIT — Teven Jenkins OT Oklahoma St. — It’s unclear if Alejandro Villanueva is returning to the Steelers, but Pittsburgh’s o-line struggled even with Villanueva last season, making Teven Jenkins a necessary addition.

25) JAC — Christian Barmore DT Alabama — The Jaguars add a disruptive interior defensive line player to complement Josh Allen and K’Lavon Chaisson.

26) CLE — Greg Newsome II CB Northwestern — I’m not finished evaluating the 2021 CB class, but I really like the technical skillset of Greg Newsome relative to the public favorite CBs. Newsome is a quick and instinctive coverage player who would compete with Greedy Williams right away in Cleveland.

27) BAL — Kadarius Toney WR Florida — Kadarius Toney is a Percy Harvin-like gadget player who will assist Baltimore’s offense in gaining cheap yards. Toney can line up in the slot, on the outside, or in the backfield.

28) NO — Tutu Atwell WR Louisville — The Saints add a speed demon as a complementary piece in a talented offense. Tutu Atwell’s downfield speed should work well with Jameis Winston’s deep average depth of target.

29) GB — Jaelan Phillips DE Miami (FLA) — Jaelan Phillips is a talented prospect, but I wonder if his history of concussions and retiring once will push him into Round 2. If he’s drafted to Green Bay, Phillips will likely play 3–4 DE.

30) BUF — Gregory Rousseau DE Miami (FLA) — The Bills have a weak defensive line, so they bring in a productive 4–3 DE who has lost some value from relatively disappointing testing numbers.

31) KC — Jalen Mayfield OT Michigan — Jalen Mayfield is solid in pass protection, which suits the Chiefs’ offensive style. Kansas City broke the bank for Joe Thuney(G) and brought back Mike Remmers(RT), so left tackle remains a big need.

32) TB — Joe Tryon DE/OLB Washington — Joe Tryon is a tweener, as it’s unclear if he’ll end up a 3–4 OLB or 4–3 DE. Tryon is a raw, developmental pass rusher with a lack of refined skills but plenty of talent.

Round 2

33) JAC — Pat Freiermuth TE Penn. St. — Pat Freiermuth is a solid blocker and receiving option. Freiermuth has decent speed and is a tackle-breaking machine. I don’t normally advocate for drafting TEs high, but Freiermuth would be a good value at the end of Round 1.

34) NYJ — Travis Etienne RB Clemson — I’m not as high on Etienne, but the Jets have a need at RB and a lot of draft picks.

35) ATL — Trevon Moehrig SS TCU — Trevon Moehrig is a solid safety across the board, as he’s a decently rangy coverage player and reasonably good run-defender. The Falcons have a major need at safety.

36) MIA — Jabril Cox OLB LSU — The Dolphins double-up at OLB by bringing in another versatile coverage linebacker.

37) PHI — Joseph Ossai OLB Texas — The Eagles need multiple starting linebackers and Joseph Ossai can fill in as a 3–4 OLB blitzer-type.

38) CIN — Liam Eichenberg OT/G Notre Dame — Liam Eichenberg might end up fitting in as a guard in the NFL, but he’s got a quietly solid resume. If the Bengals go pass-catcher in Round 1, they’ll need to spend multiple picks on the offensive line later in the draft.

39) CAR — Aaron Robinson CB UCF — The Panthers have a pretty solid front-seven, but their CBs are relatively weak, making Aaron Robinson a logical pick in Round 2. Robinson is a big slot coverer who may need to be hidden by a scheme to be successful.

40) ATL(T) — Alex Leatherwood OT Alabama — The Falcons draft a solid OT prospect who could very easily go in Round 1.

41) DET — Dylan Moses ILB Alabama — The Lions have a lack of linebacker talent, so I have Dan “I’m going to bite your kneecaps off” Campbell selecting a downhill, run-stopping ILB with limited coverage ability.

42) NYG — Carlos Basham Jr. DE Wake Forest — The Giants have a good set of coverage players and interior defensive lineman, but there’s a lack of pass-rush. Carlos Basham could fit in as a 3–4 or 4–3 DE.

43) SF — Wyatt Davis G OSU — Wyatt Davis is a solid, balanced guard who epitomizes the idea of good offensive line play being much more limiting mistakes than making pancake blocks.

44) DAL — Azeez Ojulari DE/OLB Georgia — Azeez Ojulari is a talented but undersized edge rusher. Ojulari doesn’t have the coverage experience to play OLB, so the hope is for him to bulk up and play 4–3 DE. He’s got serious skill getting to the quarterback, though.

45) JAC — Najee Harris RB Alabama — The Jaguars bring in a running back to split work with James Robinson. Harris improved as a receiver and has pretty good vision for a guy so massive.

46) DET(T) — Asante Samuel Jr. CB FSU — Possibly my favorite CB in the 2021 draft class is Asante Samuel Jr. — son of former NFL star Asante Samuel. Asante Samuel was one of the most instinctively gifted corners I’ve ever seen, meaning that Asante Samuel Jr. likely has many biologically similar characteristics. Samuel Jr. is a quick-reacting, instinctive corner with loose hips and a willingness to tackle. Asante Samuel Jr. will be a steal on day-two of the 2021 NFL draft.

47) LAC — Caleb Farley CB Virginia Tech — Chronic injuries and limited tape have spiraled Caleb Farley’s draft stock downward. Farley is a talented but overly ambitious cornerback who has a knack for making plays on the ball. I don’t love Farley as a top-15 overall pick, but if he slides to Round 2, it’s a good value.

48) LVR — Ifeatu Melifonwu CB/SS Syracuse — I am predicting that Jon Gruden and Mike Mayock, once again, draft a coverage player who can’t cover. Melifonwu will likely end up as a strong safety, which is bad news if you’re being listed as a CB prospect.

49) ARI — Rondale Moore WR/HB Purdue — Rondale Moore is like one of those little firework sticks that you can shoot off easily from short distances. Arizona needs a short-yardage receiving threat to complement DeAndre Hopkins.

50) MIA — Trey Hill C/G Georgia — Miami will likely spend one of their top four picks on the offensive line, so I have them adding some depth to their interior. The Dolphins could also go OT, as Autin Jackson struggled on the left side in year one.

51) WAS — Monty Rice LB Georgia — I have Ron Rivera adding a mediocre linebacker prospect to his defense.

52) CHI — Kyle Trask QB Florida — The Bears struck out with Russell Wilson and Deshaun Watson, but there still seems to be some appetite to bring in a new QB even after signing Andy Dalton. Kyle Trask is a prototypical pocket passer with a big arm and improvements in accuracy each season. Trask reminds me of a Matt Schaub-type quarterback.

53) TEN — Elijah Moore WR Ole Miss — Tennessee needs multiple secondary receiving options after losing both Corey Davis and Jonnu Smith to free agency. Elijah Moore’s breakaway speed would complement AJ Brown nicely.

54) IND — Sam Cosmi OT Texas — The Colts have several needs, but the loss of Anthony Castonzo at left tackle is worth addressing early in the draft. Sam Cosmi is a 6'7 giant who could settle in as a solid tackle if his footwork speed develops.

55) PIT — Javonte Williams RB UNC — The Steelers haven’t brought back James Conner, meaning RB is a need. I’d prefer not to draft RBs early, but Javonte Williams could be a nice addition to the Steelers’ offense because of his elusiveness.

56) SEA — Paulson Adebo CB Stanford — The Seahawks are almost impossible to mock for, so I’m just throwing a dart at a position of severe need and a questionable prospect. The Seahawks’ roster is a bit disastrous outside of a few players, and they have almost no draft capital flowing in this season.

57) LAR — James Hudson OT Cincinnati — I have the Rams drafting a developmental OT prospect to sit behind Andrew Whitworth and Rob Havenstein.

58) BAL — Rashod Bateman WR Minnesota — If Rashod Bateman falls this far in the actual 2021 NFL draft, then he’ll be a steal for whoever takes him. Bateman is a tall, downfield weapon who has good speed and great playmaking on the ball. I think that Baltimore is going to make a point of bringing in receiver help to expand their offense’s capabilities.

59) CLE — Nick Bolton LB Missouri — The Browns — a very sharp organization — live up to their reputation by drafting a very good coverage linebacker. Nick Bolton’s lack of physical tools may push him down the draft board, but he’s a smart and solid defensive player.

60) NO — Levi Onwuzurike DT Washington — The Saints add some depth to their defensive line’s interior with Levi Onwuzurike.

61) BUF — Elijah Molden slot CB Washington — Elijah Molden projects to be a good slot cornerback in the NFL. The Bills have a good secondary, but Molden would be a nice piece to add for slot coverage.

62) GB — Creed Humphrey C/G Oklahoma — The Packers are tricky to mock for and have a good all-around roster, so I have them adding depth to their o-line’s interior. Humphrey could play guard or center in the NFL.

63) KC — Terrace Marshall Jr. WR LSU — The Chiefs don’t have a consistent enough third receiving option behind Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce. Terrace Marshall Jr. brings a lot of raw talent similar to Sammy Watkins.

64) TB — Jevon Holland FS/SS Oregon — Without many needs to address, the Buccaneers take Jevon Holland — a very good coverage safety who needs to clean up his run defense. Holland is a great value in late Round 2.

Mock Trades

Denver receives: pick 4, pick 188, — Atlanta receives: pick 9, pick 40, 2022 1st round pick, pick 115,

New England receives: pick 7, pick 154, 2022 6th round pick, — Detroit receives: pick 15, pick 46, 2022 2nd round pick, pick 121,

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